Mobile traffic to increase 26x by 2015 but will infrastructures support it?
Here are the highlights:’[...]
- There will be 788 million mobile-only Internet users by 2015.
- Global mobile data traffic will increase by a factor of 26 by 2015.
- World mobile data grew by a factor of 2.6 in 2010 from 2009.
- Average smartphone usage doubled: 79 MB per month, up from 35 MB per month in 2009.
- Android operating system data use is rapidly catching up to the iPhone.
- In 2010 almost a third of smartphone traffic was offloaded onto fixed networks via dual-mode or Femtocells.
- Millions of people around the world have cell phones but no electricity, and by 2015 a majority in the Middle East and Southeast Asia will live “off-grid, on-net.”
I think that supporting such an expansion is also a challenge of network support, that, in most cases is running at nearly full capacity.
I’m not confident that in 4 years we can build and reinforce networks more than was done in last 10 years.
The other fact that is really worrying is that nearly 1/3 of world population will live “on net and off grid”. This is a radical shift, because moves mobile access to primary needs, and I think that accessing the net is important, but not vital nor for development, nor for surviving.