Matt Hamblen at Computerworld writes a good article expressing some opinions on SmartPhones future (full article at http://www.computerworld.com/s/article/9141761/7_smartphone_predictions_for_2010?source=rss_news).
Here is my comment:
1. Smartphones will grab an even bigger share of the overall mobile phone market
It’s true, due to the fact that cost is similar and people that can use the advanced functions are growing. I have two concerns: more smart phones mean more investments needed in networks supporting the increasing demand of services (and the fear is would the investment and infrastructure trend grow at same pace); the other concern is the one linked to usability, because smartphones don’t rhyme always with smart interfaces
2. AT&T will lose its exclusive rights to sell the iPhone
Again true, but Apple has build a solid network of exclusives. Economically talking is not the best accellerator, but at same time is the most direct way to being “exclusive”
3. The Android mobile operating system will take off.
This is very personal: True, because, in terms of usability, ther’s only one player (IPhone), with windows mobile being a no altrenative. Android is growing on this point and this is an accellerator in gaining market share at a faster pace
4. Mobile application stores will continue to balloon.
I agree, but what will make the (real) difference will be two things: quality of software provided and easiness of access (due to increasing number of apps released)
5. Location based services will get their due on smartphones
I’m not quite sure of this and of possible implications (mainly due to network traffic), though on the other side, enhanced reality apps are taking more space. Success will depend on how smart will be the access to this functions.
6. The FCC will compromise with wireless carriers on Net neutrality
Since I’m not US resident I don’t feel confident to express an opinion on this
7. More types of devices, like e-readers, will emerge
It’s true, but their diffusion will be limited by two factors: network support and the eternal dilemma: many specialized devices doing things at their best vs one “generalistic” device doing things with less depth.
This post as a comment also at http://www.computerworld.com/comments/comment/reply/9141761 and at http://www.computerworld.com/comments/comment/reply/9141761#comment-